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How Bitcoin’s performance in November has affected futures contracts market

by RSB
December 9, 2022
Reading Time: 6 mins read
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How Bitcoin’s performance in November has affected futures contracts market
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  • Bitcoin’s imply liquidated quantity in futures contracts quick positions has achieved a brand new 4-week excessive.
  • Furthermore, BTC’s open curiosity in perpetual futures contracts dropped to a 23-month low. 

Should you had excessive hopes for Bitcoin’s directional efficiency this week, then robust luck. Even merchants that guess in favor of the bears are having a troublesome time in keeping with a current Glassnode alert.

It is because Bitcoin’s lateral worth motion within the first week of December has thus far resulted within the liquidation of quick trades.


Learn Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2023-2024


In line with Glassnode, Bitcoin’s imply liquidated quantity in futures contracts quick positions has achieved a brand new 4-week excessive. The announcement revealed that these liquidations amounted to a tad above $51 million on Binance. This implies fairly numerous merchants within the derivatives market anticipated BTC to drop.

📈 #Bitcoin $BTC Imply Liquidated Quantity in Futures Contracts Quick Positions simply reached a 1-month excessive of $51,043.59 on #Binance

Earlier 1-month excessive of $48,530.53 was noticed on 02 December 2022

View metric:https://t.co/IOzxeD4O9G pic.twitter.com/SjA6oNftU3

— glassnode alerts (@glassnodealerts) December 6, 2022

Regardless of the massive liquidated quantity, the current liquidations manifested as a slight uptick within the shorts liquidation metric.  This implies the variety of buyers executing quick positions has additionally dropped on account of market uncertainty and low volatility.

Source: CryptoQuant

Supply: CryptoQuant

One other Glassnode alert additionally revealed that Bitcoin’s open curiosity in perpetual futures contracts dropped to a 23-month low. This confirms that BTC demand within the derivatives market tanked considerably this yr as a result of erosion of investor confidence.

📉 #Bitcoin $BTC Open Curiosity in Perpetual Futures Contracts simply reached a 23-month low of $302,151,640 on #Deribit

Earlier 23-month low of $302,725,060 was noticed on 04 December 2022

View metric:https://t.co/SpnaOACZab pic.twitter.com/7tD1BBedSw

— glassnode alerts (@glassnodealerts) December 6, 2022

The drop in open curiosity for Bitcoin perpetual futures contracts displays the noticed drop in Bitcoin curiosity on exchanges. Nonetheless, the metric signifies that demand is barely increased than it was at its lowest level in November.

Bitcoin open interest

Supply: CryptoQuant

All of the above metrics level in direction of one conclusion, which is that demand for Bitcoin has tanked considerably. That is particularly the case for the derivatives market. It is a signal that buyers are experiencing extra uncertainty about BTC’s path. Such circumstances are certain to yield decrease demand for leverage.

Nicely, the king coin has really skilled decrease leverage in the previous couple of weeks. The cryptocurrency’s estimated leverage ratio has been on the decline because the second week of November. The final time that the identical metric was as little as its present place was in June.

Bitcoin estimated leverage ratio

Supply: CryptoQuant

What does all of it imply for Bitcoin?

The intense drop in demand for Bitcoin derivatives in addition to leverage explains the present lack of volatility. Should you have been planning on executing a short-term commerce, then maybe it might be higher to attend till there’s some extra certainty.

Now we have seen a number of situations in H2 the place Bitcoin went by way of phases of low volatility and lateral worth motion. Volatility ultimately returns and the identical case is predicted for Bitcoin someday quickly. As soon as that occurs, we should always count on substantial bearish or bullish quantity.

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